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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-06-25T23:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-06-25T23:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/31706/-1
CME Note: There is no clear arrival signature for this CME. Starting around 2024-06-29T14:30Z, rotation in magnetic field components is seen in ACE and DSCOVR data. Further analysis of this event may be of interest to the research community. Faint CME visible in the S/SW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and the S/SE in STEREO A COR2. The source is a filament eruption centered around S10W05, between ARs 3719 and 3720. Liftoff and brightening starting around 2024-06-25T22:18Z in SDO AIA 304. Dimming and post-eruptive arcades are also visible in SDO AIA 193.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-06-29T17:41Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.75 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 25.23 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-06-28T16:27Z
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